Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.209498 3.820085 4.549670 5.495893 6.705664 8.221422 1.029793e+01
2024-10-06 2.336759 3.067521 4.061085 5.552026 7.809009 11.234679 1.712266e+01
2024-10-13 1.869848 2.598710 3.669100 5.429081 8.408575 13.586499 2.417417e+01
2024-10-20 1.636945 2.384557 3.555802 5.640695 9.546022 17.266649 3.611687e+01
2024-10-27 1.410339 2.126291 3.302993 5.528274 10.043163 19.971640 4.831846e+01
2024-11-03 1.325973 2.074935 3.372354 5.998963 11.847319 26.488391 7.777533e+01
2024-11-10 1.218448 1.963459 3.309338 6.190239 13.129132 32.613312 1.156261e+02
2024-11-17 1.143259 1.894781 3.308684 6.506773 14.852161 41.338055 1.828900e+02
2024-11-24 1.041832 1.762389 3.159140 6.451799 15.590956 47.594021 2.560069e+02
2024-12-01 0.969289 1.673810 3.081507 6.544616 16.804873 56.836144 3.869369e+02
2024-12-08 0.901903 1.585993 2.990181 6.580315 17.878260 66.792562 5.842558e+02
2024-12-15 0.859935 1.542892 2.987494 6.845769 19.868907 83.841259 1.032179e+03
2024-12-22 0.784718 1.433573 2.843857 6.764839 20.904874 99.612818 1.808121e+03
2024-12-29 0.724772 1.350790 2.753360 6.834875 22.735113 125.947763 4.027504e+03
2025-01-05 0.661194 1.250835 2.602434 6.675236 23.532772 147.805309 8.352845e+03
2025-01-12 0.627361 1.210826 2.590182 6.950496 26.609495 201.952068 3.488656e+04
2025-01-19 0.578534 1.130820 2.462395 6.804162 27.524943 238.967603 1.259547e+05
2025-01-26 0.565833 1.131294 2.543763 7.418237 33.319227 380.994468 3.546690e+07
2025-02-02 0.539886 1.097225 2.525854 7.668809 37.357470 540.010085 NaN
2025-02-09 0.521333 1.078338 2.546678 8.084726 43.223486 839.174319 NaN
2025-02-16 0.489774 1.023813 2.455637 8.012381 45.436061 1081.426496 NaN
2025-02-23 0.466572 0.987502 2.412403 8.134555 49.598178 1549.181049 NaN
2025-03-02 0.443471 0.948885 2.355950 8.181579 53.324041 2189.945356 NaN